地理与地理信息科学

以中国内地31个省(市、区)的585个主题公园为研究对象，采用最近邻指数、核密度、标准差椭圆和多因素回归分析方法对主题公园发展阶段特征、时空分异扩散及影响因素进行分析，研究结果表明：1)根据主题公园数量及发展特征，中国主题公园发展划分为萌芽期(1988年以前)、探索期(1989-2004年)、成长期(2005-2017年)和规范期(2018年至今)4个阶段；2)中国主题公园主要分布在东南区域，呈现南多北少、东南密集西北稀疏特征，与“胡焕庸线”高度吻合；3)主题公园扩散与集聚并存，标准差椭圆重心轨迹总体向西北方向递进，时空扩散呈现由东南沿海中心城市向中西部地区渐进式扩散态势，并形成珠三角和长三角两大高密度集群；4)经济驱动力、资源承载力、市场消费力及政府支持力四大动力因素协同推动主题公园时空差异分布。

Taking 585 theme parks of 31 provinces(municipalities or autonomous regions) in Chinese mainland as the research objects, this paper analyzes the development stage characteristics, spatio-temporal differentiation and influencing factors of theme parks by using the methods of nearest neighbor index, kernel density, standard deviation ellipse and multivariate regression analysis.The results show that: 1) according to the number and development characteristics, the development of China′s theme parks is divided into four stages: the embryonic stage(before 1988),the exploratory stage(1989-2004),the growth stage(2005-2017) and the normative stage(2018-present);2) China′s theme parks are mainly distributed in the Southeast region, showing the characteristics of more in the South and less in the North, dense in the Southeast and sparse in the Northwest, which is highly consistent with the "Hu Huanyong Line";3) theme park diffusion and agglomeration coexist, the center of gravity trajectory of standard deviation ellipse generally advances to the northwest, and the spatio-temporal diffusion presents a gradual trend from the Southeast coastal central cities to the Central and Western regions; 4) in the spatio-temporal differentiation and diffusion of theme parks, economic driving force, resource carrying capacity, market consumption power and government support are the four major driving forces that coordinatively promote the spatio-temporal distribution of theme parks.